Deborah J. Rumsey

#Probability
#for_Dummies
#Bayes_Theorem
Learn how to calculate your chances with easy-to-understand explanations of probability
Probability―the likelihood or chance of an event occurring―is an important branch of mathematics used in business and economics, finance, engineering, physics, and beyond. We see probability at work every day in areas such as weather forecasting, investing, and sports betting. Packed with real-life examples and mathematical problems with thorough explanations, Probability For Dummies helps students, professionals, and the everyday reader learn the basics. Topics include set theory, counting, permutations and combinations, random variables, conditional probability, joint distributions, conditional expectations, and probability modeling. Pass your probability class and play your cards right, with this accessible Dummies guide.
Probability For Dummies is the perfect Dummies guide for college students, amateur and professional gamblers, investors, insurance professionals, and anyone preparing for the actuarial exam.
Table of Contents
Introduction
Part 1: The Certainty of Uncertainty: Probability Basics
CHAPTER 1: The Probability in Everyday Life
CHAPTER 2: Coming to Terms with Probability
CHAPTER 3: Picturing Probability: Venn Diagrams, Tree Diagrams, and Bayes’ Theorem
Part 2: Counting on Probability and Betting to Win
CHAPTER 4: Setting the Contingency Table with Probabilities
CHAPTER 5: Applying Counting Rules with Combinations and Permutations
CHAPTER 6: Against All Odds: Probability in Gaming
Part 3: From A to Binomial: Basic Probability Models
CHAPTER 7: Probability Distribution Basics
CHAPTER 8: Juggling Success and Failure with the Binomial Distribution
CHAPTER 9: The Normal (but Never Dull) Distribution
CHAPTER 10: Approximating a Binomial with a Normal Distribution
CHAPTER 11: Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem
CHAPTER 12: Estimating and Doing Hypothesis Tests with Probability
Part 4: Taking It Up a Notch: Advanced Probability Models
CHAPTER 13: Working with the Poisson (a Nonpoisonous) Distribution
CHAPTER 14: Covering All the Angles of the Geometric Distribution
CHAPTER 15: Making a Positive out of the Negative Binomial Distribution
CHAPTER 16: Remaining Calm about the Hypergeometric Distribution
Part 5: For the Hotshots: Continuous Probability Models
CHAPTER 17: Staying in Line with the Continuous Uniform Distribution
CHAPTER 18: The Exponential (and Its Relationship to Poisson) Exposed
Part 6: The Part of Tens
CHAPTER 19: Ten Steps to a Better Probability Grade
CHAPTER 20: Top Ten (or So) Probability Mistakes
Deborah J. Rumsey, PhD, is a Professor of Teaching Practice at The Ohio State University. Dr. Rumsey is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association, and the author of several For Dummies titles, including Statistics For Dummies and Statistics Workbook For Dummies.









